Experience is knowing a lot of things you shouldn’t do.” William S. Knudsen

ELZUBI to Al-Arabi: Wheat Pays the Price of Wars and Climate

ELZUBI to Al-Arabi: Wheat Pays the Price of Wars and Climate
What we are witnessing today is not a wheat crisis in the sense of scarcity, but rather a crisis of production costs and logistics—where energy, shipping, and fertilizers intersect in a single chokepoint: the Strait of Hormuz. This is precisely what makes it more complex than the 2022 crisis, because it cannot be solved by increasing supply alone.
We are facing an unprecedented intersection of three simultaneous shocks:
• An energy shock caused by the closure of the Strait.
• A fertilizer shock, with urea prices jumping more than 28% in just three weeks.
• A psychological shock in grain markets, pushing Chicago wheat futures to around $6.35, reflected in the FAO Food Price Index.
The market, therefore, is not pricing wheat alone—it is pricing the geopolitics of energy, shipping, and fertilizers. Wheat does not rise in isolation… it is the price of the war in energy, shipping, and fertilizers combined.

ELZUBI to Cairo News TV/World Tea Day

ELZUBI to Cairo News TV/World Tea Day
• How tea transformed from a traditional drink in China into a global daily habit.
• The importance of tea in supporting food security and agricultural economies in developing countries.
• The impact of climate change on tea cultivation and global production, and the key challenges ahead.